{
  "schemaVersion": 1,
  "methodologyVersion": "2026.08.1",
  "id": "pokemon-mystery-pack-disclosure-audit",
  "title": "Pokemon Mystery Pack Disclosure Audit",
  "observedAt": "2026-08-27",
  "purpose": "Measure whether a Pokemon card mystery-pack product discloses enough evidence for a buyer to assess it.",
  "recordSchemaPath": "artifacts/pokemon-mystery-packs/pokemon-mystery-pack-audit-schema.json",
  "workedExamplePath": "artifacts/pokemon-mystery-packs/pokemon-mystery-pack-disclosure-audit-example.json",
  "publicDownloads": {
    "methodologyJson": "/assets/data/pokemon-mystery-pack-disclosure-audit.json",
    "methodologyCsv": "/assets/data/pokemon-mystery-pack-disclosure-audit.csv",
    "recordSchemaJson": "/assets/data/pokemon-mystery-pack-audit-schema.json",
    "workedExampleJson": "/assets/data/pokemon-mystery-pack-disclosure-audit-example.json",
    "workedExampleCsv": "/assets/data/pokemon-mystery-pack-disclosure-audit-example.csv"
  },
  "nonClaims": [
    "A high score does not prove authenticity.",
    "A high score does not prove seller trustworthiness.",
    "A high score does not prove positive expected value or profitability.",
    "A high score does not predict the outcome of an opening."
  ],
  "scoring": {
    "perTest": {"missing": 0, "partial": 1, "decisionUsable": 2},
    "criticalTestIds": ["eligible-contents", "outcome-probabilities", "value-method", "fulfillment-recourse"],
    "criticalGate": "If any critical test scores 0, classify the product as not assessable from disclosed information regardless of total score.",
    "bands": [
      {"min": 17, "max": 20, "label": "high disclosure"},
      {"min": 12, "max": 16, "label": "partial disclosure"},
      {"min": 0, "max": 11, "label": "low disclosure"}
    ],
    "bandBoundary": "Bands describe disclosure completeness only. They are editorial classifications, not industry standards or investment ratings."
  },
  "tests": [
    {"id":"eligible-contents","test":"Eligible contents or outcome pool","critical":true,"score0":"No bounded description of possible outcomes","score1":"Outcome categories or examples are shown but the complete eligible pool or explicit boundary is unavailable","score2":"A complete eligible pool or a clearly bounded pool with documented exclusions is available","whyItMatters":"A buyer cannot interpret odds or chase claims without knowing what can be received.","sourceUrl":"https://www.ebay.com/help/policies/prohibited-restricted-items/chance-listings-policy?id=4311"},
    {"id":"outcome-probabilities","test":"Outcome probabilities and population identity","critical":true,"score0":"No numeric probabilities for defined outcome classes, or the population those probabilities describe cannot be identified","score1":"The probability population is identified, but tier definitions, denominator, full-distribution coverage, or the pool-change rule is incomplete","score2":"A versioned population ID, population definition, observation time, pool-change rule, denominator, defined tiers, and coverage account for the whole distribution","whyItMatters":"A denominator is not reproducible unless the buyer can tell which fixed run or changing pool it describes; a checklist and randomization controls do not supply odds.","sourceUrl":"https://www.psacard.com/info/psa-verified"},
    {"id":"value-method","test":"Value source, date, and method","critical":true,"score0":"Value claims have no named source, date, or method","score1":"Some valuation context is supplied but timing, comparables, fees, or estimate status remain unclear","score2":"Every material value claim names the source, observation date, comparison method, and whether it is an estimate or realizable amount","whyItMatters":"Advertised value cannot be compared responsibly when its basis or age is unknown.","sourceUrl":"https://www.ftc.gov/business-guidance/resources/advertising-faqs-guide-small-business"},
    {"id":"fulfillment-recourse","test":"Fulfillment, ownership, and recourse","critical":true,"score0":"The product does not explain what happens after purchase or reveal","score1":"A possession or return path is mentioned but timing, eligibility, fees, or exceptions are incomplete","score2":"Ownership, shipment, custody, return, or alternative settlement terms are stated with eligibility, timing, fees, and exceptions","whyItMatters":"A reveal has different practical value depending on whether and how the collector can possess or exit the outcome.","sourceUrl":"https://www.ftc.gov/business-guidance/resources/advertising-faqs-guide-small-business"},
    {"id":"guaranteed-floor","test":"Guaranteed floor definition","critical":false,"score0":"No floor is promised or the floor is only an unexplained dollar claim","score1":"A minimum category or value is stated but the exact definition, valuation basis, or exceptions are incomplete","score2":"The minimum outcome is defined in item terms and any value floor uses the same documented method as other value claims","whyItMatters":"A floor is useful only when the buyer knows what is guaranteed and how any dollar figure was formed.","sourceUrl":"https://www.psacard.com/info/psa-verified"},
    {"id":"chase-concentration","test":"Chase count and concentration","critical":false,"score0":"Only a top hit is promoted with no count or pool context","score1":"Several chase outcomes are shown but their count or share of the pool is incomplete","score2":"The number of chase outcomes and their probability or pool concentration is disclosed","whyItMatters":"A single headline card can dominate attention while representing a tiny or unknown share of outcomes.","sourceUrl":"https://www.ftc.gov/business-guidance/resources/advertising-faqs-guide-small-business"},
    {"id":"authenticity-controls","test":"Authenticity and grading controls","critical":false,"score0":"No authenticity or grading verification process is described","score1":"The seller names a grading company or check but does not explain the control or its limitations","score2":"The process identifies who verifies cards, how certification is checked, and what the verification cannot prove","whyItMatters":"A matching certification record does not by itself eliminate counterfeit or altered-holder risk.","sourceUrl":"https://www.psacard.com/cert"},
    {"id":"randomization-control","test":"Randomization and operator control","critical":false,"score0":"No randomization method or operator-control boundary is described","score1":"The product says outcomes are random but supplies little about process, custody, or who can know locations","score2":"The process describes randomization, custody, and operator-access controls, including any independent role","whyItMatters":"Randomness claims and checklist verification are separate from disclosed outcome probabilities.","sourceUrl":"https://www.psacard.com/info/psa-verified"},
    {"id":"seller-provenance","test":"Seller identity, history, and product provenance","critical":false,"score0":"Seller identity, product origin, or contact path is materially unclear","score1":"Basic seller and product-origin information exists but independent history or supply-chain detail is thin","score2":"Seller identity, contact history, and the source or custody of product contents are documented","whyItMatters":"Provenance cannot certify authenticity, but it changes the buyer's ability to investigate and seek recourse.","sourceUrl":"https://support.pokemon.com/hc/en-us/articles/360002068953-Did-I-purchase-fake-or-counterfeit-cards"},
    {"id":"terms-accessibility","test":"Terms accessibility and change record","critical":false,"score0":"Material terms are absent, hidden, or available only after payment","score1":"Most terms are visible but material exceptions, dates, or revision history are incomplete","score2":"Material terms are available before purchase, dated, and preserved or versioned when changed","whyItMatters":"A buyer needs the same rules before and after purchase to evaluate the transaction.","sourceUrl":"https://www.ftc.gov/business-guidance/resources/advertising-faqs-guide-small-business"}
  ]
}